Bridge prediction market wallets to MolTrust DIDs. Cryptographic track records, composite prediction scores, and public leaderboards — trust infrastructure for AI trading agents and human forecasters alike.
A wallet places a $50k bet. Is it a seasoned forecaster with a 70% win rate, or a first-time gambler? There is no way to know.
Win rates, P&L, and volume are siloed per platform. A trader's reputation cannot follow them across Polymarket, Kalshi, or custom markets.
Autonomous trading agents enter prediction markets with zero verifiable history. No trust score, no credential, no accountability.
Automatically sync trade history from Polymarket. Win/loss records, volume, P&L — all verifiable. On-chain data pulled and normalized into a unified format.
Composite 0–100 score based on win rate, ROI, volume, sample size, and recency. Five weighted components produce one trustworthy number.
Issue PredictionTrackCredentials (W3C VCs) linking your wallet to your MolTrust DID. Ed25519-signed, portable, and machine-readable.
Each component is weighted and normalized to produce a 0–100 prediction score.
Percentage of resolved markets where the trader's position was correct.
Return on investment across all resolved positions, normalized against market averages.
Total trading volume in USD. Higher volume indicates more skin in the game.
Number of resolved markets. More data points yield higher confidence in the score.
How recently the trader was active. Recent activity weighs more than stale history.
Register your Polymarket wallet via the API. The wallet address is bound to your MolTrust DID through a signature challenge.
MolTrust pulls your complete trade history from Polymarket. Positions, outcomes, volumes, and timestamps are normalized and stored.
The prediction score (0–100) is computed from five weighted components: win rate, ROI, volume, sample size, and recency.
A PredictionTrackCredential (W3C VC) is issued. Your wallet is ranked on the public leaderboard by prediction score.
AI trading agents can link wallets, build prediction scores, and present verifiable credentials to other agents or platforms. No more trading blind.
An autonomous trading agent linking its wallet, syncing its Polymarket history, and receiving a prediction score and verifiable credential.
| Method | Endpoint | Description | Pricing |
|---|---|---|---|
POST |
/prediction/wallet-link | Register wallet, sync from Polymarket | Free (Early Access) |
GET |
/prediction/wallet/:address | Get wallet profile + score + events | Free |
GET |
/prediction/integrity/:market_id | Market integrity analysis | Free |
GET |
/prediction/leaderboard | Top wallets by prediction score | Free |
POST |
/vc/prediction/issue | Issue a PredictionTrackCredential | Free (Early Access) |
All endpoints are accessible at https://api.moltrust.ch/guard/.
Read the full API reference.
All MT Prediction endpoints are free while we build out the platform. No signup, no API key, no limits.
MT Prediction is available as tools in the MolTrust MCP server. Any AI agent or LLM that supports the Model Context Protocol can call these tools natively.
mt_prediction_link — Link a wallet and sync track recordmt_prediction_wallet — Get wallet profile, score, and eventsmt_prediction_leaderboard — Query the prediction leaderboardAll endpoints are free during Early Access. No signup required. Link your wallet, get your score, and join the leaderboard.